Two new Caltrain electric trains side by side at the Fourth Street station in San Francisco on Sept. 24, 2022. (Photo credit: Bay City News)

Caltrain’s cumulative operating deficit may exceed half a billion dollars over the next decade without significant changes in ridership, funding and other factors, according to a new report on the transit system’s financial outlook.

Caltrain has recovered just 26 percent of its pre-pandemic ridership as of November 2022, the lowest rate among the Bay Area’s major public transportation systems, according to a report by the consulting firm Bell Burnett & Associates presented Thursday to Caltrain’s governing board.

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Eli covers public health, transportation and state politics for the Bay City News Foundation, serves as the main editor of the Public Health and COVID-19 Information Hub and assists with Local News Matters' social media strategy. He has also previously covered local politics in San Diego County as well as college and professional sports across the Bay Area.